Haven't been buying many packs lately decided to try my luck, and after more than a few IR CFs these were my best pulls, that Countach in white was definitely a poster in my bedroom as a child 😍

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic

That seems a bit too high for me🤔 What did u calculate?

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic

That seems a bit too high for me🤔 What did u calculate?

3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic

That seems a bit too high for me🤔 What did u calculate?

3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol

No 0.0144 should be right then tho... Congrats on that pull haha (It could be even lower but i dont have the drop rate table)

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic

That seems a bit too high for me🤔 What did u calculate?

3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol

No 0.0144 should be right then tho... Congrats on that pull haha (It could be even lower but i dont have the drop rate table)

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic

That seems a bit too high for me🤔 What did u calculate?

3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol

It should be roughly (0.8285 * 0.3415 * 0.975)/232*100 = 0.1% So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065% Or 1 in 150,000

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic

That seems a bit too high for me🤔 What did u calculate?

3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol

It should be roughly (0.8285 * 0.3415 * 0.975)/232*100 = 0.1% So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065% Or 1 in 150,000

What is that 0.8285, 0.3415 and 0.975?

Also the chance of getting 2 legendaries is way higher... u cant just calculate 0.001*0.0065 tho

Finally my 5th legendary and my first RQ30. From a Cash Ceramic. Looking through the thread it seems like a good car. What is the overall opinion on this car?

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic

That seems a bit too high for me🤔 What did u calculate?

3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol

It should be roughly (0.8285 * 0.3415 * 0.975)/232*100 = 0.1% So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065% Or 1 in 150,000

What is that 0.8285, 0.3415 and 0.975?

Also the chance of getting 2 legendaries is way higher... u cant just calculate 0.001*0.0065 tho

Ceramic:

2 x S

Look at card 2....0.1%.... or 1 in a 1000 chance Multiply that by card 1 which is roughly 1 in 150 chance 150 * 1000 = roughly 1 in 150,000 so I think the calculation is right

As for the other numbers:

0.8285 = 82.85% chance of SR on Card 1 0.3415 = 34.15% chance of SR on Card 2 0.975 = 97.5% chance of NOT getting SR on Card 3

Sure, you could get SR on Cards 2 & 3, 1 & 3 instead which I didn't factor in but the odds are small so shouldn't affect the overall calc too much.

A simplified way of looking at it:

You are guaranteed an SR, you have a 34% of getting another on card 2. There is a 1 in 232 chance that the second SR is the same car 34/232=0.14%

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic

That seems a bit too high for me🤔 What did u calculate?

3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol

It should be roughly (0.8285 * 0.3415 * 0.975)/232*100 = 0.1% So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065% Or 1 in 150,000

What is that 0.8285, 0.3415 and 0.975?

Also the chance of getting 2 legendaries is way higher... u cant just calculate 0.001*0.0065 tho

Ceramic:

2 x S

Look at card 2....0.1%.... or 1 in a 1000 chance Multiply that by card 1 which is roughly 1 in 150 chance 150 * 1000 = roughly 1 in 150,000 so I think the calculation is right

As for the other numbers:

0.8285 = 82.85% chance of SR on Card 1 0.3415 = 34.15% chance of SR on Card 2 0.975 = 97.5% chance of NOT getting SR on Card 3

Sure, you could get SR on Cards 2 & 3, 1 & 3 instead which I didn't factor in but the odds are small so shouldn't affect the overall calc too much.

A simplified way of looking at it:

You are guaranteed an SR, you have a 34% of getting another on card 2. There is a 1 in 232 chance that the second SR is the same car 34/232=0.14%

Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic

That seems a bit too high for me🤔 What did u calculate?

3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol

It should be roughly (0.8285 * 0.3415 * 0.975)/232*100 = 0.1% So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065% Or 1 in 150,000

What is that 0.8285, 0.3415 and 0.975?

Also the chance of getting 2 legendaries is way higher... u cant just calculate 0.001*0.0065 tho

Ceramic:

2 x S

Look at card 2....0.1%.... or 1 in a 1000 chance Multiply that by card 1 which is roughly 1 in 150 chance 150 * 1000 = roughly 1 in 150,000 so I think the calculation is right

As for the other numbers:

0.8285 = 82.85% chance of SR on Card 1 0.3415 = 34.15% chance of SR on Card 2 0.975 = 97.5% chance of NOT getting SR on Card 3

Sure, you could get SR on Cards 2 & 3, 1 & 3 instead which I didn't factor in but the odds are small so shouldn't affect the overall calc too much.

A simplified way of looking at it:

You are guaranteed an SR, you have a 34% of getting another on card 2. There is a 1 in 232 chance that the second SR is the same car 34/232=0.14%

He asked for an aluminium not for a ceramic tho

Ahh yeah, ok:

0.185 * 0.035 * 100 = 0.65% chance of 2 x SR in an Alu For them to be the same car divide by 232, so 0.003% chance of pulling the same SR twice in 1 Aluminium pack

So the odds of pulling 2 SR in one Alu pack is about the same as getting an S from a Ceramic. To have them be the same car is incredibly 'lucky'

## Comments

1,341✭✭✭✭✭1,910✭✭✭✭✭just to mess up the symmetry

876✭✭✭✭✭1,127✭✭✭✭✭1,943✭✭✭✭✭686✭✭✭✭✭Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic.

1,910✭✭✭✭✭190✭✭✭So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you

190✭✭✭686✭✭✭✭✭190✭✭✭What did u calculate?

686✭✭✭✭✭190✭✭✭Congrats on that pull haha

(It could be even lower but i dont have the drop rate table)

686✭✭✭✭✭969✭✭✭✭✭So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065%

Or 1 in 150,000

190✭✭✭Also the chance of getting 2 legendaries is way higher... u cant just calculate 0.001*0.0065 tho

876✭✭✭✭✭Looking through the thread it seems like a good car. What is the overall opinion on this car?

969✭✭✭✭✭2 x S

Look at card 2....0.1%.... or 1 in a 1000 chance

Multiply that by card 1 which is roughly 1 in 150 chance

150 * 1000 = roughly 1 in 150,000 so I think the calculation is right

As for the other numbers:

0.8285 = 82.85% chance of SR on Card 1

0.3415 = 34.15% chance of SR on Card 2

0.975 = 97.5% chance of NOT getting SR on Card 3

Sure, you could get SR on Cards 2 & 3, 1 & 3 instead which I didn't factor in but the odds are small so shouldn't affect the overall calc too much.

A simplified way of looking at it:

You are guaranteed an SR, you have a 34% of getting another on card 2.

There is a 1 in 232 chance that the second SR is the same car

34/232=0.14%

2,191✭✭✭✭✭190✭✭✭969✭✭✭✭✭0.185 * 0.035 * 100 = 0.65% chance of 2 x SR in an Alu

For them to be the same car divide by 232, so 0.003% chance of pulling the same SR twice in 1 Aluminium pack

So the odds of pulling 2 SR in one Alu pack is about the same as getting an S from a Ceramic.

To have them be the same car is incredibly 'lucky'

27✭Yesterday and today...1,896✭✭✭✭✭27✭6,597✭✭✭✭✭1,943✭✭✭✭✭1,127✭✭✭✭✭Cash Ceramic. Seems low handling?

6,060✭✭✭✭✭6,597✭✭✭✭✭2,564✭✭✭✭✭