Decent pulls... All my S and A recent pulls

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  • TD42792TD42792 Posts: 2,202 ✭✭✭✭✭
    RWare said:
    Hot Hatch Cermaic reward. Any good aside from the old school Z28 Camaro epic?
    Not the best but not bad if you dont have better. Not to be discounted.
  • binnerbinner Posts: 729 ✭✭✭✭✭


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
  • Twinkie_eeTwinkie_ee Posts: 190 ✭✭✭
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
  • Twinkie_eeTwinkie_ee Posts: 190 ✭✭✭
    43MK4 said:
    Pulled this one in a ceramic today! How does it look compared with 117 other S Lambos?


    U have its MRA and its drag times for 333?
  • binnerbinner Posts: 729 ✭✭✭✭✭
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
    1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic
  • Twinkie_eeTwinkie_ee Posts: 190 ✭✭✭
    binner said:
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
    1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic
    That seems a bit too high for me🤔
    What did u calculate?
  • binnerbinner Posts: 729 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited October 2019
    binner said:
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
    1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic
    That seems a bit too high for me🤔
    What did u calculate?
    3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol
  • Twinkie_eeTwinkie_ee Posts: 190 ✭✭✭
    binner said:
    binner said:
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
    1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic
    That seems a bit too high for me🤔
    What did u calculate?
    3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol
    No 0.0144 should be right then tho...
    Congrats on that pull haha
    (It could be even lower but i dont have the drop rate table)
  • binnerbinner Posts: 729 ✭✭✭✭✭
    binner said:
    binner said:
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
    1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic
    That seems a bit too high for me🤔
    What did u calculate?
    3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol
    No 0.0144 should be right then tho...
    Congrats on that pull haha
    (It could be even lower but i dont have the drop rate table)
    Lmao as if that would be my luck  😂
  • bantel_catbantel_cat Posts: 968 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited October 2019
    binner said:
    binner said:
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
    1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic
    That seems a bit too high for me🤔
    What did u calculate?
    3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol
    It should be roughly (0.8285 * 0.3415 * 0.975)/232*100 = 0.1%
    So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

    It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

    EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065%
    Or 1 in 150,000
  • Twinkie_eeTwinkie_ee Posts: 190 ✭✭✭
    edited October 2019
    binner said:
    binner said:
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
    1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic
    That seems a bit too high for me🤔
    What did u calculate?
    3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol
    It should be roughly (0.8285 * 0.3415 * 0.975)/232*100 = 0.1%
    So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

    It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

    EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065%
    Or 1 in 150,000
    What is that 0.8285, 0.3415 and 0.975?

    Also the chance of getting 2 legendaries is way higher... u cant just calculate 0.001*0.0065 tho 
  • bantel_catbantel_cat Posts: 968 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited October 2019
    binner said:
    binner said:
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
    1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic
    That seems a bit too high for me🤔
    What did u calculate?
    3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol
    It should be roughly (0.8285 * 0.3415 * 0.975)/232*100 = 0.1%
    So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

    It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

    EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065%
    Or 1 in 150,000
    What is that 0.8285, 0.3415 and 0.975?

    Also the chance of getting 2 legendaries is way higher... u cant just calculate 0.001*0.0065 tho 
    Ceramic:



    2 x S

    Look at card 2....0.1%.... or 1 in a 1000 chance
    Multiply that by card 1 which is roughly 1 in 150 chance
    150 * 1000 = roughly 1 in 150,000 so I think the calculation is right

    As for the other numbers:

    0.8285 = 82.85% chance of SR on Card 1
    0.3415 = 34.15% chance of SR on Card 2
    0.975 = 97.5% chance of NOT getting SR on Card 3

    Sure, you could get SR on Cards 2 & 3, 1 & 3 instead which I didn't factor in but the odds are small so shouldn't affect the overall calc too much.

    A simplified way of looking at it:

    You are guaranteed an SR, you have a 34% of getting another on card 2.
    There is a 1 in 232 chance that the second SR is the same car
    34/232=0.14%
  • Blue2moroBlue2moro Posts: 2,207 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Me reading these last few posts

  • Twinkie_eeTwinkie_ee Posts: 190 ✭✭✭
    binner said:
    binner said:
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
    1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic
    That seems a bit too high for me🤔
    What did u calculate?
    3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol
    It should be roughly (0.8285 * 0.3415 * 0.975)/232*100 = 0.1%
    So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

    It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

    EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065%
    Or 1 in 150,000
    What is that 0.8285, 0.3415 and 0.975?

    Also the chance of getting 2 legendaries is way higher... u cant just calculate 0.001*0.0065 tho 
    Ceramic:



    2 x S

    Look at card 2....0.1%.... or 1 in a 1000 chance
    Multiply that by card 1 which is roughly 1 in 150 chance
    150 * 1000 = roughly 1 in 150,000 so I think the calculation is right

    As for the other numbers:

    0.8285 = 82.85% chance of SR on Card 1
    0.3415 = 34.15% chance of SR on Card 2
    0.975 = 97.5% chance of NOT getting SR on Card 3

    Sure, you could get SR on Cards 2 & 3, 1 & 3 instead which I didn't factor in but the odds are small so shouldn't affect the overall calc too much.

    A simplified way of looking at it:

    You are guaranteed an SR, you have a 34% of getting another on card 2.
    There is a 1 in 232 chance that the second SR is the same car
    34/232=0.14%
    He asked for an aluminium not for a ceramic tho
  • bantel_catbantel_cat Posts: 968 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited October 2019
    binner said:
    binner said:
    binner said:


    Anyone have the odds of pulling 2 of the exact same super rare from an aluminum pack? It just happened to me and I've never had it happen before. Feel like it has to be less than pulling a legendary from a ceramic. 
    Go search for the chance of pulling 2 SRs in an aluminium then search for how many SRs are in the game and multiply with 1/(all SRs in game) 
    So if u have a drop rate table and the IG SR count i will calculate it for you
    1.44% chance then. So still more than a legendary in a ceramic
    That seems a bit too high for me🤔
    What did u calculate?
    3.5*(1/242).... *100 cause I thought .0144% seemed way to low. Better odds to pull 2 legendaries from a ceramic then, but I'm probably wrong lol
    It should be roughly (0.8285 * 0.3415 * 0.975)/232*100 = 0.1%
    So yeah, way more likely to pull an S than a duplicate SR

    It's not quite right cos you need to factor in the other permutations of getting 2 SR from 3 possible cards but should be close enough.

    EDIT -- Not better than odds of 2 x S which is small, i.e 0.0065 * 0.001 * 100 = 0.00065%
    Or 1 in 150,000
    What is that 0.8285, 0.3415 and 0.975?

    Also the chance of getting 2 legendaries is way higher... u cant just calculate 0.001*0.0065 tho 
    Ceramic:



    2 x S

    Look at card 2....0.1%.... or 1 in a 1000 chance
    Multiply that by card 1 which is roughly 1 in 150 chance
    150 * 1000 = roughly 1 in 150,000 so I think the calculation is right

    As for the other numbers:

    0.8285 = 82.85% chance of SR on Card 1
    0.3415 = 34.15% chance of SR on Card 2
    0.975 = 97.5% chance of NOT getting SR on Card 3

    Sure, you could get SR on Cards 2 & 3, 1 & 3 instead which I didn't factor in but the odds are small so shouldn't affect the overall calc too much.

    A simplified way of looking at it:

    You are guaranteed an SR, you have a 34% of getting another on card 2.
    There is a 1 in 232 chance that the second SR is the same car
    34/232=0.14%
    He asked for an aluminium not for a ceramic tho
    Ahh yeah, ok:

    0.185 * 0.035 * 100 = 0.65% chance of 2 x SR in an Alu
    For them to be the same car divide by 232, so 0.003% chance of pulling the same SR twice in 1 Aluminium pack

    So the odds of pulling 2 SR in one Alu pack is about the same as getting an S from a Ceramic.
    To have them be the same car is incredibly 'lucky'
  • FortressFortress Posts: 27

    Yesterday and today...
  • TopDrives40778TopDrives40778 Posts: 2,151 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Fortress said:

    Yesterday and today...
    What happened Yesterday and Today?
  • FortressFortress Posts: 27
    pulled the ruf yesterday and pulled the gallado today
  • TD42792TD42792 Posts: 2,202 ✭✭✭✭✭
    What happened with @Twinkie_ee ?
  • RWareRWare Posts: 1,127 ✭✭✭✭✭
    RQ26's are good right? Right?

    Cash Ceramic. Seems low handling?
  • TGPDTGPD Posts: 6,067 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Not the best legendary but still one nonetheless. 
  • HeissRodHeissRod Posts: 7,338 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Nice.  I've had mine at 366 for a long time.
  • 43MK443MK4 Posts: 1,910 ✭✭✭✭✭
    HeissRod said:
    Fortress said:

    Yesterday and today...
    What happened Yesterday and Today?
    He slipped Hutch a hunnit.
    Ha! Always nice to learn a new word!
  • HeissRodHeissRod Posts: 7,338 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Isn’t it faster on drags than the S8?
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